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| #946152 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 27.Oct.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 1100 PM AST Sat Oct 27 2018 ...OSCAR STRENGTHENS AS IT TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 51.4W ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 51.4 West. Oscar is moving toward the west-southwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward the west and a slower forward speed are expected on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Monday. After that, Oscar is forecast to begin moving toward the north and then the northeast Monday night or Tuesday. Satellite data indicate that Oscar has become a tropical storm and that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely during the next couple of days, and Oscar is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
