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#946177 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 28.Oct.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 500 AM AST Sun Oct 28 2018 ...OSCAR EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 52.6W ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 820 MI...1320 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 52.6 West. Oscar is moving toward the southwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the west at a slower forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Monday. After that, Oscar is forecast to begin moving toward the north on Monday night or Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Oscar is expected to become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |