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#946211 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 28.Oct.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 28 2018 ...OSCAR POISED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 53.8W ABOUT 815 MI...1310 KM ESE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 780 MI...1255 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 53.8 West. Oscar is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A continued westward motion is anticipated today, followed by a turn toward the northwest late tonight or early Monday. By Tuesday, Oscar is forecast to begin moving toward the north or north-northeast with an increase in forward speed. The cyclone is then expected to quickly accelerate toward the north-northeast or northeast through the middle of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next couple of days and Oscar is forecast to become a hurricane later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |