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#946294 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 29.Oct.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Oscar Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162018 500 AM AST Mon Oct 29 2018 ...OSCAR A LITTLE STRONGER AND LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER... ...NO THREAT TO LAND AREAS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 57.8W ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Oscar was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 57.8 West. Oscar is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest at a slower forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the north tonight. On Tuesday, Oscar is forecast to begin moving toward the north or north-northeast with an increase in forward speed. The hurricane is then expected to accelerate quickly toward the northeast through the middle of the week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast through Tuesday, followed by gradual weakening thereafter. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |