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#9502 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 22.Sep.2004)
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004
0900Z WED SEP 22 2004

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 49.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 49.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 49.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.7N 49.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.4N 47.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 48.0N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 55.5N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 49.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH