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#9554 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 22.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 1500Z WED SEP 22 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 68.5W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 200SW 250NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 68.5W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 68.5W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 26.0N 68.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.0N 69.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.0N 70.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.3N 72.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 27.5N 75.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 29.5N 77.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 33.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 68.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |