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| #9581 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 22.Sep.2004) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004 2100Z WED SEP 22 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 48.3W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..660NE 500SE 320SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 48.3W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 48.7W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.1N 47.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 33.7N 44.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.7N 42.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 53.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 60.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...EXTRATROPICAL REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 48.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
