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| #9596 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:40 PM 22.Sep.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 67 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004 2300Z WED SEP 22 2004 AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 88.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.5N 91.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 93.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N 95.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 96.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 89.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
