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| #9664 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 23.Sep.2004) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004 0900Z THU SEP 23 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 45.8W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..700NE 540SE 540SW 540NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 45.8W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 46.4W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.5N 44.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 44.5N 41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 49.5N 38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...275NE 275SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 58.5N 22.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 125SE 125SW 0NW. 34 KT... 45NE 350SE 350SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 65.5N 5.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 45.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |
