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| #9718 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 23.Sep.2004) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122004 1500Z THU SEP 23 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 43.8W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT.......300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 500SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 43.8W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 44.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.6N 42.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...300NE 275SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.9N 41.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 47.4N 40.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 350SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 52.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 61.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 43.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
