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| #974711 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 14.Jul.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Barry Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 ...BARRY MOVING NORTHWARD OVER NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING RAINS TO CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 93.4W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... The Storm Surge Warning from Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Morgan City to Cameron A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. The Tropical Storm Warning will likely be discontinued later this afternoon. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located by NOAA Doppler radars and surface observations near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 93.4 West. Barry is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue through Monday morning. A motion toward the north-northeast and northeast is expected Monday afternoon into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Barry will move across the western and northern portions of Louisiana today, and over Arkansas tonight and Monday. NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring near the coast well to the southeast of the center. Weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (64 km/h) and a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h) was recently reported at an NOS site at Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana. A wind gust to 49 mph (80 km/h) was also recently reported at a Weatherflow site at Cameron, Louisiana. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the southern coast of Louisiana are gradually receding. However, some minor coastal flooding is still possible through today. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches over south-central Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions will persist through early this afternoon. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible today across portions of southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama, eastern Arkansas, and western Tennessee. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |
