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#974740 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:51 PM 14.Jul.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Barry Intermediate Advisory Number 17A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 ...BARRY CONTINUES GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING RAINS TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 93.6W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ESE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Morgan City to Cameron A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. The Tropical Storm Warning will likely be discontinued later this afternoon. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located by NOAA Doppler radars and surface observations near latitude 32.4 North, longitude 93.6 West. Barry is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general northward motion is forecast tonight through Monday morning. A motion toward the north-northeast and northeast is expected Monday afternoon into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Barry will move across the northwestern portions of Louisiana today, and over Arkansas tonight and Monday. NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring near the coast well to the southeast and south of the center. Weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a gust to 48 mph (78 km/h) was recently reported at an NOS site at Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the southern coast of Louisiana are gradually receding. However, some minor coastal flooding is still possible through today. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches over south-central Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions will persist through early this afternoon. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible today across portions of southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, western Alabama, eastern Arkansas, and western Tennessee. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |