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#974919 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 15.Jul.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry Advisory Number 22 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022019 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019 ...BARRY BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...LOCAL FLASH FLOODING REMAINS LIKELY... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.0N 93.3W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM NW OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flash Flood Watches, Flood Warnings, and Flood Advisories are in effect for portions of far southeast Texas through the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley. Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect for portions of the Louisiana coast. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry was located near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 93.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). Barry is expected to turn toward the northeast early Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Barry could maintain a weak surface circulation as it tracks toward the Ohio Valley, and a threat of flash flooding is forecast to persist to the east and south of the center. A band of very heavy rainfall appears possible over Arkansas tonight and Tuesday. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches across Arkansas, western Tennessee and Kentucky, southeast Missouri, and northwest Mississippi. In Texas and Louisiana, Barry will produce only minor additional accumulations. Storm total amounts were generally between 3 and 6 inches, but with embedded swaths of dramatically higher totals. One measurement of 23.43 inches was made to the north of Lake Charles, Louisiana, near Ragley. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible this afternoon and evening from the Mid-South toward the Lower Ohio Valley. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next public advisory will be issued at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Burke |