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#974974 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 16.Jul.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry Advisory Number 24 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022019 400 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY DRIFTING ACROSS MISSOURI... ...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING LIKELY THROUGH THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.8N 92.3W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM NE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM N OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...30 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flash Flood Watches are in effect from the ARKLATEX eastward through the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley. Flash Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of southern Arkansas. Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of southern Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi. Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect for portions of the Louisiana coast. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry was located near latitude 37.8 North, longitude 92.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today with a gradual turn more easterly by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across portions of southern Arkansas, northern Mississippi and far southwestern Tennessee. Isolated maximum totals exceeding 10 inches are possible across southwest Arkansas. Significant and life-threatening flash flooding is expected through this morning across southwest Arkansas. Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, locally higher, are expected across portions of the Ohio Valley today into tonight. Rainfall has ended in Texas and Louisiana. Storm total amounts there were generally between 3 and 6 inches, but with embedded swaths of dramatically higher totals. One gauge measured 23.43 inches to the north of Lake Charles, Louisiana, near Ragley. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Chenard |