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| #980346 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 01.Sep.2019) TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE. A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANDROS ISLAND * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO DEERFIELD BEACH * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN...AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 76.8W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 913 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 76.8W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 76.5W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.6N 77.7W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.8N 78.5W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.0N 79.0W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.4N 79.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 29.7N 80.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 70SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 32.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 35.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 76.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
