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| #980610 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 02.Sep.2019) TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LANTANA FL TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH FL TO SOUTH OF LANTANA FL * ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACOS ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * JUPITER INLET FL TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH FL TO JUPITER INLET FL * NORTH OF PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH FL TO JUPITER INLET FL A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH FL TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN...AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.5W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.5W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 78.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.1N 78.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.9N 79.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 29.2N 79.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.6N 79.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.7N 77.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 38.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 45.4N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 78.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
