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| #980909 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 04.Sep.2019) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 97.3W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River Interests along the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 97.3 West. Fernand is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected today, and the center of Fernand is forecast to cross the northeastern coast of Mexico this afternoon or evening, and move farther inland tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before the center moves onshore. Once inland, rapid weakening is expected, and Fernand should dissipate on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: Tamaulipas and Central/Southern Nuevo Leon: 6 to 12 inches with isolated 18 inches, highest along the immediate Gulf Coast and in the Sierra Madre Oriental. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Northern Nuevo Leon and Southern Coahuila: 3 to 6 inches. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the warning area through this afternoon. Squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the lower Texas coast. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas through this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |
