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| #980972 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 04.Sep.2019) TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Fernand Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 Fernand moved inland a few hours ago, and the surface center is already showing signs of becoming poorly defined. The intensity is now estimated at 30 kt, assuming weakening has occurred since the cyclone moved inland. This makes Fernand a Tropical Depression. The depression should move westward or west-northwestward for the next 12 h or so while it continues to weaken, and it could dissipate as soon as tonight. Although the winds have decreased and the depression will likely dissipate soon, Fernand is still producing substantial convection and continues to pose a significant rain threat to northeast Mexico. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides will be possible through Thursday, even after Fernand dissipates. Please consult products from you local weather service for more information on the potential rainfall hazard. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/2100Z 24.4N 98.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0600Z 25.0N 100.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |
