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| #981568 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 08.Sep.2019) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Advisory Number 61 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 500 AM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 ...POWERFUL DORIAN HEADING TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...48.5N 61.1W ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM W OF CAPE ST GEORGE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NNE OF MADGALEN ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Canadian Hurricane Center has discontinued all warnings for Nova Scotia west of Ecum Secum on the southern coast and west of Brule along the northern coast. All warnings have also been discontinued for New Brunswick. The Hurricane Watch for Prince Edward Island has also been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Eastern Nova Scotia from Ecum Secum to Brule * Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke`s Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Magdalen Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Prince Edward Island * Magdalen Islands * Stone`s Cove to Indian Harbour * Hawke`s Bay to Fogo Island * Mutton Bay to Mary`s Harbour A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was located near latitude 48.5 North, longitude 61.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this general motion with a turn to the northeast is expected during the next couple of days. On this track, Dorian will be moving near or over western Newfoundland later today and then enter the North Atlantic this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mainly over water. The post- tropical cyclone is forecast to drop below hurricane strength after passing Newfoundland later today. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km). A sustained wind of 62 mph (100 km/h) with a gust to 79 mph (128 km/h) was recently reported at Heath Point on Anticosti Island. A wind gust to 69 mph (109 km/h) was recently observed at North Mountain in Nova Scotia. The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are still occuring over portions of Nova Scotia. Hurricane conditions are also expected elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area in Newfoundland today. Hurricane conditions are also possible in the Hurricane Watch area through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through tonight: New Brunswick...2 to 4 inches Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding. SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next few days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
