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| #983904 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 24.Sep.2019) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 69.0W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 69.0W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 69.1W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.9N 67.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.9N 65.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.7N 62.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 34.4N 60.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 56.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 33.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 69.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 25/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
