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| #9843 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 24.Sep.2004) TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 73 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004 RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT IVAN HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS PORT ARTHUR TEXAS WHILE IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY 72 HR. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/7. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN...AND MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE TURNS IVAN SOUTHWESTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATION. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON IVAN BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. SUBSEQUENT PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 30.2N 94.4W 25 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 24/1800Z 30.4N 95.1W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING 24HR VT 25/0600Z 30.1N 96.0W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 25/1800Z 29.2N 96.7W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/0600Z 28.0N 97.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED |
