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#984302 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 27.Sep.2019) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 500 PM AST Fri Sep 27 2019 ...LORENZO WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE BUT REMAINS VERY LARGE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 43.6W ABOUT 1575 MI...2535 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 43.6 West. Lorenzo is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue tonight. A turn toward the north is expected on Saturday, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are now near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Lorenzo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days. However, Lorenzo is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through the weekend. A combination of satellite wind data and reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Lorenzo remains a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 265 miles (425 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Lorenzo are affecting portions of the northeastern coast of South America and will affect portions of the Lesser Antilles beginning tonight through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |