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#984482 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 AM 29.Sep.2019) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 500 AM AST Sun Sep 29 2019 ...LORENZO REMAINS A LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.1N 44.6W ABOUT 1360 MI...2190 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Lorenzo. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was located near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 44.6 West. Lorenzo is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn to the north-northeast is expected later today, followed by a faster northeast motion on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, Lorenzo is expected to move near or just west of the Azores late Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Lorenzo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although gradual weakening is forecast, Lorenzo is expected to be a large and powerful hurricane as it approaches the Azores. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lorenzo is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over much of the western Azores and 1 to 2 inches over the central Azores Tuesday and Wednesday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in the western Azores. SURF: Swells generated by Lorenzo are spreading across much of the North Atlantic basin. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |