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| #985837 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 PM 11.Oct.2019) TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142019 2100 UTC FRI OCT 11 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR INFORMATION ON WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING HAZARDS...SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 69.5W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 150 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 34 KT.......300NE 60SE 180SW 210NW. 12 FT SEAS..900NE 240SE 480SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 69.5W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 69.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 38.0N 68.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 60SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.3N 66.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 38.8N 63.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 39.2N 60.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 40.7N 52.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 69.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO |
