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| #985867 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 11.Oct.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019 ...MELISSA GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS... ...COASTAL FLOODING STILL EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS ON SATURDAY AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.7N 68.8W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect. For information on wind and coastal flooding hazards, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Melissa was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 68.8 West. Melissa is moving toward the southeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the east is expected on Saturday, followed by a gradual increase in forward speed late Saturday through Monday. On the forecast track, Melissa will gradually move away from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Melissa is expected to become a remnant low by Saturday night or early Sunday. Winds of 40 mph or greater extend outward over waters up to 275 miles (445 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Wind gusts to 40 mph are possible across portions of Cape Cod, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket overnight. COASTAL FLOODING: Minor to moderate coastal flooding will occur along some portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and southeastern New England coast on Saturday around times of high tide. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are affecting much of the U.S. east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada. These swells will result in life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
