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#985999 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 12.Oct.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019 1100 PM AST Sat Oct 12 2019 ...MELISSA MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.6N 64.0W ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect. For information on coastal flooding hazards, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was located near latitude 38.6 North, longitude 64.0 West. Melissa is moving toward the east near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with a gradual increase in forward speed through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected over the next day or so, and Melissa is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by Sunday or Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- COASTAL FLOODING: Minor to moderate coastal flooding will occur along some portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and southeastern coast through the rest of the weekend around times of high tide. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are affecting much of the U.S. east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada. These swells will result in life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |