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| #986118 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 13.Oct.2019) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019 1100 PM AST Sun Oct 13 2019 ...MELISSA WEAKENS OVER THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC... ...DANGEROUS SWELLS CONTINUE ALONG THE EASTERN COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES AND ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.2N 56.7W ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was located near latitude 40.2 North, longitude 56.7 West. Melissa is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A further increase in forward speed and a turn toward the east are expected on Monday, with that motion continuing into Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected tonight, and Melissa is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low later tonight or early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- COASTAL FLOODING: Minor coastal flooding will occur along some portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and southeastern coast through early Monday around times of high tide. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa that are affecting much of U.S. east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada will gradually subside on Monday. These swells are likely to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
