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| #986242 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 14.Oct.2019) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152019 0300 UTC TUE OCT 15 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 20.8W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 20.8W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 20.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.5N 21.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.8N 22.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 23.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N 24.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.6N 27.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 20.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
