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#986345 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 PM 15.Oct.2019) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152019 500 PM AST Tue Oct 15 2019 ...DEPRESSION MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 22.9W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM NE OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should closely monitor the progress of the depression. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 22.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move across the island of Sal this evening and over or near the northern Cabo Verde Islands tonight and early Wednesday morning. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast tonight and early Wednesday. Weakening is expected to begin by Wednesday afternoon, and the system is forecast to become a remnant low by Wednesday night or Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches) is based on observations from the Amilcar Cabral Airport on Sal island. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across the eastern and northern Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. This rainfall could cause flash flooding and mudslides. WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts could occur across the eastern Cabo Verde Islands later today and tonight, especially over higher terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |