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#986377 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 15.Oct.2019) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152019 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 15 2019 ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 23.7W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNE OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of the depression. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 23.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The depression is forecast to move on a west-northwestward to northwestward heading at a similar forward speed during the next day or two. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated, and the system is forecast to become a remnant low on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches) based on data from the Amilcar Cabral International Airport (GVAC) in the Cabo Verde Islands. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across the eastern and northern Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. This rainfall could cause flash flooding and mudslides. WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts could occur across the eastern Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday, especially over high terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |