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#987692 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 25.Oct.2019) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 25 2019 ...COMPACT TROPICAL STORM PABLO HOLDING ITS STRENGTH OVER THE EAST ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.5N 31.1W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 31.1 West. Pablo is moving toward the east-southeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to the east is expected overnight, followed by a faster northeastward or north-northeastward motion late Saturday and Sunday. On the forecast track, the small core of Pablo will pass near or over the Azores by Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated, and Pablo is expected to become an extratropical cyclone in a day or two. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Since Pablo is embedded within a large extratropical low, which itself is forecast to bring strong winds to the Azores, the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) has included the effects of this small cyclone in their products. Those products already account for the strong winds and high waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |