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Fernand moving out to sea. 99L still lacks a low level circulation and likely won't be classified today. Recon out tonight will help verify one way or the other.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 319 (Milton) , Major: 319 (Milton) Florida - Any: 319 (Milton) Major: 319 (Milton)
32.6N 59.3W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Nne at 13 mph
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#98782 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 PM 20.Jul.2006)
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

THE MINIMUM PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1002 MB
AND THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS REPORTED SO FAR ARE 56 KNOTS.
BECAUSE THE CYCLONE IS OVER COOL WATERS...THESE WINDS MOST LIKELY
ARE NOT REACHING THE SURFACE. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 45 KNOTS. BERYL'S DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED
CONSIDERABLY AND IS BECOMING A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WHICH IS
TYPICAL OF CYCLONES MOVING OVER COOL WATERS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND BERYL SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 24
HOURS AS IT APPROACHES NOVA SCOTIA.

BERYL IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 035 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS.
THE CYCLONE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF A DIGGING TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THEREFORE...A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
FORECAST. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL BE PASSING
VERY NEAR NANTUCKET AND EASTERN CAPE COD LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE RAINS EXTEND WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE MODEL
CONSENSUS WHICH SHOWS THE CYCLONE MOVING OVER OR JUST SOUTH
SOUTHEASTERN OF CAPE COD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 20/2100Z 39.6N 72.0W 45 KT
12HR VT 21/0600Z 41.0N 70.5W 40 KT
24HR VT 21/1800Z 43.0N 67.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 22/0600Z 46.0N 61.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 22/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT