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#987834 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 26.Oct.2019) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 PM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 ...SMALL PABLO ACCELERATING AWAY FROM THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.2N 22.6W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 22.6 West. Pablo is moving toward the northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast and north is expected on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Monday. The small core of Pablo will continue to move away from the eastern Azores overnight. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight, but slow weakening is forecast to begin by Sunday night. Pablo is forecast to become post-tropical by late Sunday or early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Since Pablo is embedded within a large extratropical low, which itself is forecast to bring strong winds to the Azores, the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) has included the effects of this small cyclone in their products. Those products already account for the strong winds and high waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |