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| #9898 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 AM 24.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 1500Z FRI SEP 24 2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 43.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 43.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 43.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.8N 44.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.3N 45.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.8N 46.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 46.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 24.0N 46.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 28.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 31.5N 43.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 43.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN |
