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The area over the northeast Gulf extending into offshore the Southeast now has a 40% chance to develop into a tropical or subtropical system this weekend or early next week. Lots of off/on rain in Florida in the meantime.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 265 (Milton) , Major: 265 (Milton) Florida - Any: 265 (Milton) Major: 265 (Milton)
23.0N 99.2W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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#990006 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:42 PM 20.Nov.2019)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Sebastien Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019
500 PM AST Wed Nov 20 2019

...SEBASTIEN MAKES ITS NORTHWARD TURN...
...EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING SOON...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 61.5W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sebastien was
located near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 61.5 West. Sebastien is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the northeast
with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Sebastien
is expected to become an extratropical cyclone in a couple of days
and be absorbed by a cold front on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Latto