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#990086 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:50 AM 21.Nov.2019) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 1500 UTC THU NOV 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 60.5W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 60.5W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 60.8W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.0N 58.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 80SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 27.2N 55.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.0N 50.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.2N 45.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 160SE 120SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 39.7N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 60.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |