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| #9901 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 24.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 1500Z FRI SEP 24 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI... ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 72.4W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 72.4W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 72.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.2N 74.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.4N 76.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.8N 78.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...130NE 105SE 105SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.9N 80.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 105SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 30.7N 81.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N 78.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 40.0N 69.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 72.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |
