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#990114 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:32 PM 21.Nov.2019) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 2100 UTC THU NOV 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 59.7W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 59.7W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 60.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 25.5N 57.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 80SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.9N 53.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.6N 48.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 160SE 120SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 33.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 180SE 140SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 39.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 59.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |