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#990145 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:48 PM 21.Nov.2019) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 57.8W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 57.8W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 58.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.0N 51.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.3N 47.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N 43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 37.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 57.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |