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| #9929 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 24.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112004 2100Z FRI SEP 24 2004 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI... ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST TO ANCLOTE KEY...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 73.5W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 73.5W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 73.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.5N 75.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.6N 77.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.4N 80.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.0N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.5N 81.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 36.0N 75.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 41.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 73.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
