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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Miami, FL (MFL) (South Florida) Selection: |
| #1225156 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:54 PM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 244 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 This morning`s low clouds and fog finally burned off shortly before Noon, with skies mostly sunny during the early afternoon hours. With the weak high pressure ridge across South Florida, sea breezes will dominate the local wind flow this afternoon. Latest CAMs (Convective Allowing Models) are fairly consistent in showing scattered showers and thunderstorms where the seabreezes intersect during the mid and late afternoon, primarily over the interior and west of Lake Okeechobee. With more low level dry air than the past few days, coverage and intensity of the convection will be less. However, with temperatures over the interior rising into the lower 90s, mixed-layer CAPE reaching 2000-2500 J/kg, steep low level lapse rates, and cold air aloft (freezing levels around 13 kft) there should be enough instability and low level forcing for a couple of strong storms capable of producing gusty winds and small hail. Light steering flow may also cause higher rainfall amounts of 1-2" in isolated spots where the convection can concentrate. Some of the convection may backbuild towards the coasts late this afternoon, but should not make it any farther than the outlying suburbs of both coasts. High pressure surface and aloft begins to build and strengthen over the western Atlantic tonight and Wednesday, and this will gradually usher in a more stable airmass and breezy SE winds to South Florida. Once this afternoon`s convection dissipates, little if any precipitation is indicated for tonight and Wednesday. The SE winds will bring a little more humidity to the area, and lows tonight will only drop into the upper 60s to lower 70s (mid 70s along the Atlantic coast). Highs tomorrow are expected to once again hit 90 degrees over the interior and mid to upper 80s elsewhere, except closer to the lower 80s at the Atlantic beaches where the onshore SE breeze will limit the temperature rise. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 300 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Model ensembles and long range global solutions show good agreement in keeping the region under the firm control of sprawling high pressure, which lingers through early next week. Persisting subsidence and a relatively dry airmass will result in mostly rain- free and warm weather conditions, along with strong mid-level ridging remaining over the area. Pressure gradients are expected to strengthen across the western Atlantic, with southern edge of the high bringing breezy and gusty periods over SoFlo for the Thu/Fri time frame. Otherwise, mainly benign weather should persist each day through the long term. Next chance at some rainfall won`t arrive until early next week as a frontal boundary approaches the area. Afternoon highs should reach the mid 80s near the coasts, and may climb into the upper 80s to low 90s over interior areas and around the Lake region. It will also be rather humid and muggy, with potential for heat index values to reach the mid 90s across much of SoFlo, and even isolated spots touching the upper 90s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals, with perhaps a few brief periods of MVFR ceilings above 2,000 ft. SHRA/TSRA through about 00z should remain primarily over interior sections of the peninsula and away from the terminals. Seabreezes around 10 knots at all terminals through about 00z, then winds becoming predominant out of the SE 7-10 knots, and increasing to 12-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after 14z Wednesday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Benign conditions through tonight with winds and seas gradually remaining below 10 kts and 2 feet or less respectively. However, the increasing SE winds on Wednesday will begin a period of increasingly hazardous marine conditions which should last into the upcoming weekend. Current forecast trends suggest that small craft advisory conditions could begin as early as Wednesday night and last for several days. Winds are forecast to be near 20 knots and seas up to 6 feet. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Today is the last day of minimal rip current risk, as the increasing SE wind will bring the rip current risk to high levels at all Atlantic beaches from Wednesday into the upcoming weekend. Gulf coast beaches should remain under a low rip current risk as winds stay from an offshore direction. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 74 84 75 84 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 72 85 73 87 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 73 84 73 86 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 74 83 74 85 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 74 83 75 83 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 74 83 75 83 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 74 84 75 88 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 73 85 73 83 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 74 83 74 85 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 71 88 71 88 / 10 0 0 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225139 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:51 PM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1236 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 This morning`s low clouds and fog finally burned off shortly before Noon, with skies mostly sunny during the early afternoon hours. With the weak high pressure ridge across South Florida, sea breezes will dominate the local wind flow this afternoon. Latest CAMs (Convective Allowing Models) are fairly consistent in showing scattered showers and thunderstorms where the seabreezes intersect during the mid and late afternoon, primarily over the interior and west of Lake Okeechobee. With more low level dry air than the past few days, coverage and intensity of the convection will be less. However, with temperatures over the interior rising into the lower 90s, mixed-layer CAPE reaching 2000-2500 J/kg, steep low level lapse rates, and cold air aloft (freezing levels around 13 kft) there should be enough instability and low level forcing for a couple of strong storms capable of producing gusty winds and small hail. Light steering flow may also cause higher rainfall amounts of 1-2" in isolated spots where the convection can concentrate. Some of the convection may backbuild towards the coasts late this afternoon, but should not make it any farther than the outlying suburbs of both coasts. High pressure surface and aloft begins to build and strengthen over the western Atlantic tonight and Wednesday, and this will gradually usher in a more stable airmass and breezy SE winds to South Florida. Once this afternoon`s convection dissipates, little if any precipitation is indicated for tonight and Wednesday. The SE winds will bring a little more humidity to the area, and lows tonight will only drop into the upper 60s to lower 70s (mid 70s along the Atlantic coast). Highs tomorrow are expected to once again hit 90 degrees over the interior and mid to upper 80s elsewhere, except closer to the lower 80s at the Atlantic beaches where the onshore SE breeze will limit the temperature rise. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mostly rain-free and warm weather conditions will prevail throughout the remainder of the week as strong mid-level ridging remains in place over the area. Near the surface, an area of high surface will develop and strengthen over the western Atlantic; as a result, wind speeds could increase on Thursday and Friday, with sustained wind speeds 15-20 mph and higher gusts possible. High temperatures each day will reach the mid 80s near the coasts, and could potentially rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s across the interior. With lingering moisture mid-week, there will be potential for heat indices reaching the mid-90s across SW Florida, especially on Thursday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals, with perhaps a few brief periods of MVFR ceilings above 2,000 ft. SHRA/TSRA through about 00z should remain primarily over interior sections of the peninsula and away from the terminals. Seabreezes around 10 knots at all terminals through about 00z, then winds becoming predominant out of the SE 7-10 knots, and increasing to 12-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots after 14z Wednesday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Benign conditions through tonight with winds and seas gradually remaining below 10 kts and 2 feet or less respectively. However, the increasing SE winds on Wednesday will begin a period of increasingly hazardous marine conditions which should last into the upcoming weekend. Current forecast trends suggest that small craft advisory conditions could begin as early as Wednesday night and last for several days. Winds are forecast to be near 20 knots and seas up to 6 feet. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1230 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Today is the last day of minimal rip current risk, as the increasing SE wind will bring the rip current risk to high levels at all Atlantic beaches from Wednesday into the upcoming weekend. Gulf coast beaches should remain under a low rip current risk as winds stay from an offshore direction. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 74 84 75 84 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 72 85 73 87 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 73 84 73 86 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 74 83 74 85 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 74 83 75 83 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 74 83 75 83 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 74 84 75 88 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 73 85 73 83 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 74 83 74 85 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 71 88 71 88 / 10 0 0 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225129 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:36 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 920 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 908 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Low clouds and fog persist over interior sections of South Florida as of the time of this update, but should continue to slowly burn off through the remainder of the morning, followed by mostly sunny skies which should take us through the midday/early PM. 12z Miami sounding as well as more recent ACARS soundings show a bit more low level dry air compared to the past few days. This will help to cut down on the afternoon convection as some of this dry air mixes to the surface. However with temperatures reaching the lower 90s by early afternoon over the interior, there will no doubt be enough instability for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly after 3 PM. Favored areas for showers and thunderstorms will be over the interior where seabreezes will converge, with overall storm motion quite slow and dependent on local effects. Some backbuilding of convection towards the coasts may occur, but will likely not make it past the outlying suburbs of both coasts. A couple of stronger storms are still possible due to the expected low level instability, but we`re not expecting the coverage or intensity of the storms of the past 2-3 days. Gusty winds and small hail would be the primary threats with the strongest storms. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mid-level ridging will begin to build over the Florida peninsula today as a weakening trough finally exits the Eastern Seaboard out into the Atlantic Ocean. This trough will drag a surface low along with it, but a trailing cold front will remain draped over the southeastern US today. This will help promote generally light easterly/southeasterly flow across South Florida, which in turn will support continued moisture advection across the region, with PWATs in the 1.1-1.5 inch range. Much of this moisture will remain trapped in the lower levels as dry air begins to overspread the region aloft. Nevertheless, with enough moisture and lift provided by the developing sea breezes, a few isolated showers and weak thunderstorms could develop over the interior and southwest Florida late this afternoon. Outside of a few wind gusts and heavy downpours, no other significant impacts are forecast with activity this afternoon. Chances for showers decrease substantially as we head into Wednesday and ridging (and dry air aloft) fully settle in across the area. Temperatures through the period will continue to warm up as we remain in this easterly/southeasterly wind regime. Highs today and tomorrow will peak in the mid to upper 80s, with portions of southwest Florida hitting the lower 90s each day. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mostly rain-free and warm weather conditions will prevail throughout the remainder of the week as strong mid-level ridging remains in place over the area. Near the surface, an area of high surface will develop and strengthen over the western Atlantic; as a result, wind speeds could increase on Thursday and Friday, with sustained wind speeds 15-20 mph and higher gusts possible. High temperatures each day will reach the mid 80s near the coasts, and could potentially rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s across the interior. With lingering moisture mid-week, there will be potential for heat indices reaching the mid-90s across SW Florida, especially on Thursday. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 726 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Areas of IFR ceilings/visibility over interior South Florida through 14z will also affect FLL/FXE vicinity, then improving to mainly VFR conditions after 14z. SHRA/TSRA 18z-00z should remain primarily over interior sections of the peninsula and away from the terminals. Light wind becoming seabreezes around 10 knots after 16z, then SE 10 knots after 00z. && .MARINE... Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Generally benign conditions with winds and seas gradually remaining below 10kts and 2 feet or less respectively. A few showers and storms remain possible with locally higher seas and waves in and around this activity. Winds will begin to increase mid-week as surface high builds over the western Atlantic and the pressure gradient over the area tightens. && .BEACHES... Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Although the risk of rip currents will remain low across all South Florida beaches today, the risk could become elevated on Wednesday for all Atlantic beaches as onshore flow strengthens. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 87 74 84 75 / 10 0 0 0 West Kendall 89 71 87 73 / 10 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 89 73 86 73 / 20 0 0 0 Homestead 87 73 85 74 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 84 73 82 75 / 10 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 85 73 83 75 / 10 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 90 74 87 75 / 10 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 86 73 83 73 / 10 0 0 0 Boca Raton 87 73 85 74 / 10 0 0 0 Naples 87 70 88 71 / 0 10 10 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225122 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:36 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 729 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mid-level ridging will begin to build over the Florida peninsula today as a weakening trough finally exits the Eastern Seaboard out into the Atlantic Ocean. This trough will drag a surface low along with it, but a trailing cold front will remain draped over the southeastern US today. This will help promote generally light easterly/southeasterly flow across South Florida, which in turn will support continued moisture advection across the region, with PWATs in the 1.1-1.5 inch range. Much of this moisture will remain trapped in the lower levels as dry air begins to overspread the region aloft. Nevertheless, with enough moisture and lift provided by the developing sea breezes, a few isolated showers and weak thunderstorms could develop over the interior and southwest Florida late this afternoon. Outside of a few wind gusts and heavy downpours, no other significant impacts are forecast with activity this afternoon. Chances for showers decrease substantially as we head into Wednesday and ridging (and dry air aloft) fully settle in across the area. Temperatures through the period will continue to warm up as we remain in this easterly/southeasterly wind regime. Highs today and tomorrow will peak in the mid to upper 80s, with portions of southwest Florida hitting the lower 90s each day. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mostly rain-free and warm weather conditions will prevail throughout the remainder of the week as strong mid-level ridging remains in place over the area. Near the surface, an area of high surface will develop and strengthen over the western Atlantic; as a result, wind speeds could increase on Thursday and Friday, with sustained wind speeds 15-20 mph and higher gusts possible. High temperatures each day will reach the mid 80s near the coasts, and could potentially rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s across the interior. With lingering moisture mid-week, there will be potential for heat indices reaching the mid-90s across SW Florida, especially on Thursday. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 726 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Areas of IFR ceilings/visibility over interior South Florida through 14z will also affect FLL/FXE vicinity, then improving to mainly VFR conditions after 14z. SHRA/TSRA 18z-00z should remain primarily over interior sections of the peninsula and away from the terminals. Light wind becoming seabreezes around 10 knots after 16z, then SE 10 knots after 00z. && .MARINE... Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Generally benign conditions with winds and seas gradually remaining below 10kts and 2 feet or less respectively. A few showers and storms remain possible with locally higher seas and waves in and around this activity. Winds will begin to increase mid-week as surface high builds over the western Atlantic and the pressure gradient over the area tightens. && .BEACHES... Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Although the risk of rip currents will remain low across all South Florida beaches today, the risk could become elevated on Wednesday for all Atlantic beaches as onshore flow strengthens. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 87 74 84 75 / 10 10 0 0 West Kendall 89 71 87 73 / 10 10 0 0 Opa-Locka 89 73 86 73 / 10 10 0 0 Homestead 87 73 85 74 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 84 73 82 75 / 10 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 85 73 83 75 / 10 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 90 74 87 75 / 10 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 86 73 83 73 / 10 10 0 0 Boca Raton 87 73 85 74 / 10 10 0 0 Naples 87 70 88 71 / 0 10 10 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225093 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:06 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 253 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mid-level ridging will begin to build over the Florida peninsula today as a weakening trough finally exits the Eastern Seaboard out into the Atlantic Ocean. This trough will drag a surface low along with it, but a trailing cold front will remain draped over the southeastern US today. This will help promote generally light easterly/southeasterly flow across South Florida, which in turn will support continued moisture advection across the region, with PWATs in the 1.1-1.5 inch range. Much of this moisture will remain trapped in the lower levels as dry air begins to overspread the region aloft. Nevertheless, with enough moisture and lift provided by the developing sea breezes, a few isolated showers and weak thunderstorms could develop over the interior and southwest Florida late this afternoon. Outside of a few wind gusts and heavy downpours, no other significant impacts are forecast with activity this afternoon. Chances for showers decrease substantially as we head into Wednesday and ridging (and dry air aloft) fully settle in across the area. Temperatures through the period will continue to warm up as we remain in this easterly/southeasterly wind regime. Highs today and tomorrow will peak in the mid to upper 80s, with portions of southwest Florida hitting the lower 90s each day. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Mostly rain-free and warm weather conditions will prevail throughout the remainder of the week as strong mid-level ridging remains in place over the area. Near the surface, an area of high surface will develop and strengthen over the western Atlantic; as a result, wind speeds could increase on Thursday and Friday, with sustained wind speeds 15-20 mph and higher gusts possible. High temperatures each day will reach the mid 80s near the coasts, and could potentially rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s across the interior. With lingering moisture mid-week, there will be potential for heat indices reaching the mid-90s across SW Florida, especially on Thursday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 125 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Periods of MVFR/IFR this morning as a low cloud deck forms with clearing skies and winds becoming light and variable. TEMPOs in place through 12Z for MVFR/IFR CIGs and chances for BCFG. Once the cloud deck lifts by late morning, VFR will prevail for the rest of the TAF period with ESE winds along the east coast and WSW for KAPF. && .MARINE... Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Generally benign conditions with winds and seas gradually remaining below 10kts and 2 feet or less respectively. A few showers and storms remain possible with locally higher seas and waves in and around this activity. Winds will begin to increase mid-week as surface high builds over the western Atlantic and the pressure gradient over the area tightens. && .BEACHES... Issued at 251 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Although the risk of rip currents will remain low across all South Florida beaches today, the risk could become elevated on Wednesday for all Atlantic beaches as onshore flow strengthens. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 87 74 84 75 / 10 10 0 0 West Kendall 89 71 87 73 / 10 10 0 0 Opa-Locka 89 73 86 73 / 10 10 0 0 Homestead 87 73 85 74 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 84 73 82 75 / 10 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 85 73 83 75 / 10 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 90 74 87 75 / 10 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 86 73 83 73 / 10 10 0 0 Boca Raton 87 73 85 74 / 10 10 0 0 Naples 85 70 88 71 / 0 10 10 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225083 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:51 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 134 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 747 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Late afternoon convection is still affecting portions of central/eastern Palm Beach, and metro areas of south Broward/northern Miami-Dade counties. LPMM and High-Res short term data suggest these cells could linger through around 9-10pm while slowly dissipating. Thus, POP/Wx grids have been updated to reflect this longer timeframe for these cells to last. Rainfall estimates of 2-3 inches have prompted a Flood advisory for the Miramar area, including US-27, with additional 1 or 2 inches possible during the next hour or so. Rest of the forecast package remains on track and no further updates are required attm. Expect another mild evening and overnight hours with lows in the mid-upper 60s inland, and in the low 70s near the coast. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 1204 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025 GOES Imagery early this afternoon depicts cloud streets of shallow capped cumulus clouds reminiscent of summer time across South Florida. The discussion & forecast from the midnight shift remains on track with the potential of a few strong to marginally severe storms this afternoon across the eastern half of the area. Mesoscale models such as the HRRR and RAP have been fickle and unrepresentative for our region over the last several days. However, more dry air in the vertical column should indeed limit convective coverage compared to what unfolded yesterday. Rain chances remain at a modest 30-40% along the east coast of SoFlo with lower values west of Lake Okeechobee. Forecast parameters such as DCAPE 1100+ J/kg, SBCAPE of 2000-3000+ J/Kg, and steep low level lapse rates support the threat of some robust storm activity once the capping inversion erodes even though 500mb temperatures are a few degrees warmer than yesterday. If a taller core does develops, DCAPE and dry mid- level air may allow for strong to severe downbursts (& wind gusts) to occur. 500mb temperatures of - 9C to -10C could still support the potential of small hail with the most robust cores. In addition, light southwesterly 850mb flow may pin the Atlantic sea- breeze along the coast. While models depict convective initiation occurring late (4-6pm) in the afternoon with the sea- breeze making further progress inland, variations in this evolution may support a non- zero (<2%) conditional tornado risk as a corridor of enhanced bulk shear and SRH materializes on the stable side of the sea-breeze boundary. The best dynamics given the flow regime for this would be across Palm Beach County and northern Broward County. HREF`s LPMM also hints at the potential of a few localized swaths of 1-2" of rainfall with afternoon thunderstorms today. This could materialize if a storm is pinned along a boundary as mid-level flow remains light. This could create some nuisance flooding if it occurs over an urban area. Light and variable winds tonight into early Tuesday as saturation at the surface may set the stage for additional round of patchy fog across inland areas. Once the sun rises, flow will remain light and variable with the Atlantic and Gulf breezes forecast to push inland during the late morning/early afternoon hours and favor any isolated shower and storm coverage over the central interior. However, less moisture will be available (abundantly dry air aloft) for showers to form, meaning that any development would be expected to be shallow and weak in nature. Temperatures for today and tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s across the region, with the lower end being observed near the coastlines. Portions of the interior could approach 90 as well tomorrow. Heat indices (feels-like temperatures) may reach the middle to upper 90s each afternoon across inland communities. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025 For the latter half of the week and moving into the weekend, expansive mid-level ridging and surface high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to strengthen and preside over the southeastern CONUS. This will most likely inhibit convection in South Florida. There will be some remaining moisture lingering in the region and the formation of the Atlantic and Gulf sea breezes. However, it will not likely be enough to overcome the increasingly dry air aloft, as well as an intrusion of drier air closer to the surface. Thus, model guidance continues to forecast very low rain chances throughout the long term period. Winds will increase by mid- week, due to the strengthening high, which will interact with low pressure over the Great Lakes region. With a tighter pressure gradient, these breezy conditions will likely to last into the end of the week and potential for gusts up to 20KT. High temperatures each day are expected in the mid 80s near the coasts and the upper 80s to lower 90s for the interior sections. With lingering moisture mid-week, there will be potential for heat indices reaching the mid-90s across the SW Florida on Wednesday and Thursday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 125 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025 Periods of MVFR/IFR this morning as a low cloud deck forms with clearing skies and winds becoming light and variable. TEMPOs in place through 12Z for MVFR/IFR CIGs and chances for BCFG. Once the cloud deck lifts by late morning, VFR will prevail for the rest of the TAF period with ESE winds along the east coast and WSW for KAPF. && .MARINE... Issued at 1204 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Generally benign conditions to start the week through Tuesday with winds and seas gradually remaining below 10kts and 2 feet or less respectively. A few showers and storms remain possible with locally higher seas and waves in and around this activity. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1204 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025 A moderate risk for rip currents along the east coast continues today, but as winds continue to weaken this risk will diminish heading into Tuesday. An elevated risk is likely to return to the east coast later in the weak as onshore winds increase again. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 87 74 84 75 / 10 10 0 0 West Kendall 89 71 87 73 / 10 10 0 0 Opa-Locka 89 73 86 74 / 10 10 0 0 Homestead 87 73 85 75 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 84 73 82 75 / 10 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 85 73 83 74 / 10 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 90 74 87 75 / 10 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 86 73 83 73 / 10 10 0 0 Boca Raton 87 73 85 74 / 10 10 0 0 Naples 85 70 88 71 / 0 10 10 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ |
