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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Mobile, AL (Mobile, AL Area) Selection: |
| #1225157 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:57 PM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 144 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A large upper trof evolves over the western and central states through midweek then begins to slowly advance into the eastern CONUS through Monday. A weak frontal boundary over the marine area lifts northward through the area today as a warm front, but deep layer moisture will be too limited to support precipitation with the frontal passage. A moist southerly flow follows for Wednesday through Saturday, then a surface low passing well to the north brings a cold front through the forecast area Sunday into Sunday evening. Occasional isolated showers and storms are possible over the western portion of the area Wednesday through Saturday as weak shortwaves move across the region. Likely pops follow for Sunday as the front approaches and moves through the area, then have gone with slight chance to chance pops for Monday due to the potential for some lingering precipitation in the wake of the front. Will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe storms on Sunday as the 850 mb jet is indicated to increase to 40-50 knots with MLCAPE values of at least 1000-1500 J/kg. A moderate risk of rip currents today and tonight will be followed by a High Risk for Wednesday through Saturday due to the persistent onshore flow. Highs today range from the mid 70s at the coast to the lower 80s over interior areas, then Wednesday through Saturday will be warmer with highs ranging from near 80 at the coast to the mid/upper 80s over interior areas. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s, then lows Wednesday night through Friday night range from the mid 60s to around 70. /29 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 134 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period. Patchy MVFR/IFR fog will be possible late tonight into Wednesday morning. /13 && .MARINE... Issued at 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A light offshore flow during the early morning hours becomes southeasterly this afternoon. Winds increase tonight with a moderate to occasionally strong onshore flow expected for Wednesday through Saturday. Small craft may need to occasionally exercise caution Wednesday through Saturday. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 67 83 69 83 69 83 68 83 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 Pensacola 68 77 70 78 70 79 70 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 67 78 69 79 70 78 69 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 65 87 65 87 66 88 64 87 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 66 87 68 88 69 88 68 87 / 0 10 0 10 0 10 0 20 Camden 66 87 66 86 67 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 Crestview 64 85 65 85 65 86 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Saturday evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Saturday evening for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225120 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:30 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 618 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A large upper trof evolves over the western and central states through midweek then begins to slowly advance into the eastern CONUS through Monday. A weak frontal boundary over the marine area lifts northward through the area today as a warm front, but deep layer moisture will be too limited to support precipitation with the frontal passage. A moist southerly flow follows for Wednesday through Saturday, then a surface low passing well to the north brings a cold front through the forecast area Sunday into Sunday evening. Occasional isolated showers and storms are possible over the western portion of the area Wednesday through Saturday as weak shortwaves move across the region. Likely pops follow for Sunday as the front approaches and moves through the area, then have gone with slight chance to chance pops for Monday due to the potential for some lingering precipitation in the wake of the front. Will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe storms on Sunday as the 850 mb jet is indicated to increase to 40-50 knots with MLCAPE values of at least 1000-1500 J/kg. A moderate risk of rip currents today and tonight will be followed by a High Risk for Wednesday through Saturday due to the persistent onshore flow. Highs today range from the mid 70s at the coast to the lower 80s over interior areas, then Wednesday through Saturday will be warmer with highs ranging from near 80 at the coast to the mid/upper 80s over interior areas. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s, then lows Wednesday night through Friday night range from the mid 60s to around 70. /29 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 617 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A broken deck near 2.5-3.5 kft will affect much of the area today, then low clouds and fog are likely to develop tonight. Light northeasterly winds become southerly 5-10 knots today, then become southeasterly tonight. /29 && .MARINE... Issued at 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A light offshore flow during the early morning hours becomes southeasterly this afternoon. Winds increase tonight with a moderate to occasionally strong onshore flow expected for Wednesday through Saturday. Small craft may need to occasionally exercise caution Wednesday through Saturday. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 80 67 83 69 83 69 83 68 / 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 0 Pensacola 76 68 77 70 78 70 79 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 77 67 78 69 79 70 78 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 84 65 87 65 87 66 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 83 66 87 68 88 69 88 68 / 0 0 20 0 20 0 10 0 Camden 82 66 87 66 86 67 88 65 / 0 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 Crestview 84 64 85 65 85 65 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Saturday evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Saturday evening for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225101 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:00 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A large upper trof evolves over the western and central states through midweek then begins to slowly advance into the eastern CONUS through Monday. A weak frontal boundary over the marine area lifts northward through the area today as a warm front, but deep layer moisture will be too limited to support precipitation with the frontal passage. A moist southerly flow follows for Wednesday through Saturday, then a surface low passing well to the north brings a cold front through the forecast area Sunday into Sunday evening. Occasional isolated showers and storms are possible over the western portion of the area Wednesday through Saturday as weak shortwaves move across the region. Likely pops follow for Sunday as the front approaches and moves through the area, then have gone with slight chance to chance pops for Monday due to the potential for some lingering precipitation in the wake of the front. Will need to monitor for the potential for strong to severe storms on Sunday as the 850 mb jet is indicated to increase to 40-50 knots with MLCAPE values of at least 1000-1500 J/kg. A moderate risk of rip currents today and tonight will be followed by a High Risk for Wednesday through Saturday due to the persistent onshore flow. Highs today range from the mid 70s at the coast to the lower 80s over interior areas, then Wednesday through Saturday will be warmer with highs ranging from near 80 at the coast to the mid/upper 80s over interior areas. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s, then lows Wednesday night through Friday night range from the mid 60s to around 70. /29 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A modest cold front oriented from just north of MOB/BFM to near 0J4 continues into the marine area overnight, then lifts back northward through much of the area on Tuesday. A cloud deck near 1500 ft continues to develop across area overnight, with localized dense fog possible, then conditions improve to VFR/MVFR during the day on Tuesday. Light northerly winds in the wake of the front switch around to a southerly direction at 5-10 knots on Tuesday. /29 && .MARINE... Issued at 244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A light offshore flow during the early morning hours becomes southeasterly this afternoon. Winds increase tonight with a moderate to occasionally strong onshore flow expected for Wednesday through Saturday. Small craft may need to occasionally exercise caution Wednesday through Saturday. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 80 67 83 69 83 69 83 68 / 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 0 Pensacola 76 68 77 70 78 70 79 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 77 67 78 69 79 70 78 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 84 65 87 65 87 66 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 83 66 87 68 88 69 88 68 / 0 0 20 0 20 0 10 0 Camden 82 66 87 66 86 67 88 65 / 0 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 Crestview 84 64 85 65 85 65 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Saturday evening for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk from Wednesday morning through Saturday evening for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
| #1225080 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:27 AM 01.Apr.2025) AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1220 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 A drier airmass will move into the area behind a "cold" front tonight into Tuesday. The boundary quickly returns north as a warm front late Tuesday into Wednesday as an upper level system ejects northeast across the northern plains. The frontal boundary associated with this feature will only slowly move east and stall west of the Mississippi river as an upper level ridge builds over the western Atlantic into the northern Gulf. This will keep the local area dry with warming temps as upper level heights increase. Highs will be well above normal with low 80s on Tuesday and in the low to mid 80s Wednesday through Saturday, with some upper 80s across far inland areas. Low temps will also be well above normal. The next chance of rain moves into the area early next week as a stronger system ejects out of the southwestern states and slides east and pushes the stalled front eastward. Strong southerly flow through the end of the week will lead to a High Risk of rip currents through much of the week. /13 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025 A modest cold front oriented from just north of MOB/BFM to near 0J4 continues into the marine area overnight, then lifts back northward through much of the area on Tuesday. A cloud deck near 1500 ft continues to develop across area overnight, with localized dense fog possible, then conditions improve to VFR/MVFR during the day on Tuesday. Light northerly winds in the wake of the front switch around to a southerly direction at 5-10 knots on Tuesday. /29 && .MARINE... Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Light southwesterly to westerly winds briefly turn northerly late tonight as a cold front moves across the area. A light southeasterly flow develops by Tuesday afternoon. Onshore flow becomes moderate to occasionally strong beginning Wednesday and lasting through the early part of the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 66 83 68 83 69 83 68 83 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 Pensacola 69 78 70 78 70 79 70 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 68 77 69 78 70 78 69 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 64 86 65 87 66 88 64 87 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 65 87 68 88 68 88 68 87 / 0 10 0 20 0 10 0 20 Camden 64 86 66 87 67 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 Crestview 64 84 65 85 66 86 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ |
