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Show Area Forecast Discussion - Mobile, AL (Mobile, AL Area) Selection:
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#1260591 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:03 PM 22.Feb.2026)
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous
burning conditions today and again on Monday.

- Strong winds with frequent gusts to gale force will create
hazardous conditions for small craft today through Monday
morning.

- Windy conditions over land will occur today and blow around
unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few
power outages may result.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A much colder and drier airmass continues to move into the region
under strong northwest winds. Winds will decrease some this
evening and tonight but remain in the 10 to 15 mph range. The
wind combined with lows in the upper 20 and low 30s will lead to
wind chill values of 15 to 20 degrees inland and 20 to 25 along
the coast. A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for tonight
due to the low wind chill values. Highs on Monday will only be in
the mid/upper 40s inland to low 50s along the coast. Monday night
will be the coldest night with low/mid 20s inland to upper 20s/low
30s along the coast. Temps moderate back into the mid/upper 50s
in most areas on Tuesday.

Highs quickly warm back into the lower 70s on Wednesday and the
middle 70s on Thursday as southerly winds return to the region.
The dry weather conditions will persist through Wednesday
evening, followed by increasing rain chances late Wednesday
through Thursday night ahead and along another approaching cold
front. This weaker front should move across the area Thursday
night, with rain ending on Friday. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1114 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Gusty northwesterly
winds will also continue through the period. Winds this afternoon
are expected to gust to as high as 30-35 knots, lowering to gusts
to around 20-25 knots tonight. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Strong northwesterly to northerly winds will occur today into Monday
in the wake of a cold front. Frequent gusts to around 40 knots are
expected over the Gulf, and near gale force across the bays and
sounds. Offshore flow diminishes Monday afternoon into Tuesday
morning, shifting to light to moderate onshore flow by midweek and
continuing through Thursday. /13

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 150 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Red Flag Warning has been issued for southeast Mississippi again on
Monday due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity
levels. While the requirement of a moderate significant fire
potential for the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for southwest
Alabama and northwest Florida is not being met, officials should
be on the alert as any fires that develops may catch and spread
quickly./13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 31 53 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 34 51 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 35 51 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 28 49 24 58 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 29 49 24 58 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 28 44 23 56 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 29 51 24 58 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for ALZ051>060-
261>266.

Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for
ALZ051>060-261>266.

FL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for FLZ201>206.

Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for
FLZ201>206.

MS...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.

Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 6 PM CST Monday for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ630>636-650-
655.

Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.

Small Craft Advisory from noon Monday to midnight CST Monday
night for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$
#1260571 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:18 PM 22.Feb.2026)
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1116 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1114 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous
burning conditions today.

- Strong winds with frequent gusts to gale force will create
hazardous conditions for small craft today through Monday
morning.

- Windy conditions over land will occur today and blow around
unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few
power outages may result.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Strong northwesterly to northerly winds will occur today into
Monday in the wake of a strong cold front, and usher in a much
colder and drier airmass. A Wind Advisory is now in effect today
for south central and southwest Alabama, and northwest Florida as
we expect northwest winds around 20 to 25 mph with frequent gusts
to around 40 mph. We will monitor to see if this Wind Advisory
needs to be expanded into southeast Mississippi. High temperatures
today will only be in the lower to middle 50s inland to upper 50s
closer to the coast. Nearly all areas will see a freeze tonight
with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Middle 30s are expected
along the immediate coast. Both these high and low temps are
around 8-13 degrees below normal. Highs on Monday will struggle to
reach the middle to upper 40s along and north of Highway-84, and
the lower 50s to the south. Monday night looks to be the coldest
night with lows ranging from 23 to 27 degrees inland, and from 28
to 31 degrees along the coast. Both these high and low temps are
around 15-20 degrees below normal. The gusty northwest wind will
make it feel even colder today into Monday evening. In fact,
apparent temperatures (wind chills) could lower into Cold Weather
Advisory criteria late tonight into Monday, so we may need to
issue a Cold Weather Advisory on the next forecast package.

Highs quickly warm back into the lower 70s on Wednesday and the
middle 70s on Thursday as southerly winds return to the region.
The dry weather conditions will persist through Wednesday
evening, followed by increasing rain chances late Wednesday
through Thursday night ahead and along another approaching cold
front. This weaker front should move across the area Thursday
night, with rain tapering off on Friday.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through
Tuesday night, becoming MODERATE on Wednesday and HIGH on Thursday
as the southerly winds and swells increase /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1114 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Gusty
northwesterly winds will also continue through the period. Winds this
afternoon are expected to gust to as high as 30-35 knots,
lowering to gusts to around 20-25 knots tonight. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Mobile Bay, the Mississippi
Sound, and the Gulf Waters. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect
for the our remaining bays. Strong northwesterly to northerly
winds will occur today into Monday in the wake of a cold front.
Frequent gusts to around 40 knots are expected over the Gulf, and
near gale force across the bays and sounds. Offshore flow
diminishes Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning, shifting to
light to moderate onshore flow by midweek and continuing through
Thursday. /22

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for southeast Mississippi
today due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity.
While the requirement of a moderate significant fire potential for
the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida is not being met, officials should be on the
alert as any fires that develops may catch and spread quickly.
/22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 58 32 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 57 35 51 30 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 58 34 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 55 28 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 54 29 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 51 28 45 23 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 58 28 51 25 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for ALZ051>060-
261>266.

Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for
ALZ051>060-261>266.

FL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for FLZ201>206.

Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Monday for
FLZ201>206.

MS...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.

GM...Gale Warning until noon CST today for GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ630>632-650-
655.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ633>636.

Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$
#1260560 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:54 AM 22.Feb.2026)
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
539 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 535 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous
burning conditions today.

- Strong winds with frequent gusts to gale force will create
hazardous conditions for small craft today through Monday
morning.

- Windy conditions over land will occur today and blow around
unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few
power outages may result.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Strong northwesterly to northerly winds will occur today into
Monday in the wake of a strong cold front, and usher in a much
colder and drier airmass. A Wind Advisory is now in effect today
for south central and southwest Alabama, and northwest Florida as
we expect northwest winds around 20 to 25 mph with frequent gusts
to around 40 mph. We will monitor to see if this Wind Advisory
needs to be expanded into southeast Mississippi. High temperatures
today will only be in the lower to middle 50s inland to upper 50s
closer to the coast. Nearly all areas will see a freeze tonight
with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Middle 30s are expected
along the immediate coast. Both these high and low temps are
around 8-13 degrees below normal. Highs on Monday will struggle to
reach the middle to upper 40s along and north of Highway-84, and
the lower 50s to the south. Monday night looks to be the coldest
night with lows ranging from 23 to 27 degrees inland, and from 28
to 31 degrees along the coast. Both these high and low temps are
around 15-20 degrees below normal. The gusty northwest wind will
make it feel even colder today into Monday evening. In fact,
apparent temperatures (wind chills) could lower into Cold Weather
Advisory criteria late tonight into Monday, so we may need to
issue a Cold Weather Advisory on the next forecast package.

Highs quickly warm back into the lower 70s on Wednesday and the
middle 70s on Thursday as southerly winds return to the region.
The dry weather conditions will persist through Wednesday
evening, followed by increasing rain chances late Wednesday
through Thursday night ahead and along another approaching cold
front. This weaker front should move across the area Thursday
night, with rain tapering off on Friday.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through
Tuesday night, becoming MODERATE on Wednesday and HIGH on Thursday
as the southerly winds and swells increase /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

VFR conditions and clear skies prevail through the TAF cycle.
Strong northerly to north-northwesterly winds of 20-25 knots
persist through the day with gusts up to 35 knots. Winds will
relax somewhat after sunset but still expect north-northwesterly
winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots at the terminals.
07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Mobile Bay, the Mississippi
Sound, and the Gulf Waters. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect
for the our remaining bays. Strong northwesterly to northerly
winds will occur today into Monday in the wake of a cold front.
Frequent gusts to around 40 knots are expected over the Gulf, and
near gale force across the bays and sounds. Offshore flow
diminishes Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning, shifting to
light to moderate onshore flow by midweek and continuing through
Thursday. /22

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for southeast Mississippi
today due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity.
While the requirement of a moderate significant fire potential for
the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida is not being met, officials should be on the
alert as any fires that develops may catch and spread quickly.
/22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 58 32 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 57 35 51 30 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 58 34 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 55 28 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 54 29 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 51 28 45 23 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 58 28 51 25 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for ALZ051>060-
261>266.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST early this morning for
ALZ265-266.

FL...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for FLZ201>206.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST early this morning for
FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening
for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Gale Warning until noon CST today for GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from noon today to noon CST Monday for
GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ633>636.

Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$
#1260538 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:18 AM 22.Feb.2026)
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous
burning conditions today.

- Strong winds with frequent gusts to gale force will create
hazardous conditions for small craft today through Monday
morning.

- Windy conditions over land will occur today and blow around
unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few
power outages may result.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Strong northwesterly to northerly winds will occur today into
Monday in the wake of a strong cold front, and usher in a much
colder and drier airmass. A Wind Advisory is now in effect today
for south central and southwest Alabama, and northwest Florida as
we expect northwest winds around 20 to 25 mph with frequent gusts
to around 40 mph. We will monitor to see if this Wind Advisory
needs to be expanded into southeast Mississippi. High temperatures
today will only be in the lower to middle 50s inland to upper 50s
closer to the coast. Nearly all areas will see a freeze tonight
with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Middle 30s are expected
along the immediate coast. Both these high and low temps are
around 8-13 degrees below normal. Highs on Monday will struggle to
reach the middle to upper 40s along and north of Highway-84, and
the lower 50s to the south. Monday night looks to be the coldest
night with lows ranging from 23 to 27 degrees inland, and from 28
to 31 degrees along the coast. Both these high and low temps are
around 15-20 degrees below normal. The gusty northwest wind will
make it feel even colder today into Monday evening. In fact,
apparent temperatures (wind chills) could lower into Cold Weather
Advisory criteria late tonight into Monday, so we may need to
issue a Cold Weather Advisory on the next forecast package.

Highs quickly warm back into the lower 70s on Wednesday and the
middle 70s on Thursday as southerly winds return to the region.
The dry weather conditions will persist through Wednesday
evening, followed by increasing rain chances late Wednesday
through Thursday night ahead and along another approaching cold
front. This weaker front should move across the area Thursday
night, with rain tapering off on Friday.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through
Tuesday night, becoming MODERATE on Wednesday and HIGH on Thursday
as the southerly winds and swells increase /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Mobile Bay, the Mississippi
Sound, and the Gulf Waters. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect
for the our remaining bays. Strong northwesterly to northerly
winds will occur today into Monday in the wake of a cold front.
Frequent gusts to around 40 knots are expected over the Gulf, and
near gale force across the bays and sounds. Offshore flow
diminishes Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning, shifting to
light to moderate onshore flow by midweek and continuing through
Thursday. /22

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 111 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for southeast Mississippi
today due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity.
While the requirement of a moderate significant fire potential for
the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida is not being met, officials should be on the
alert as any fires that develops may catch and spread quickly.
/22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 58 32 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 57 35 51 30 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 58 34 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 55 28 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 54 29 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 51 28 45 23 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 58 28 51 25 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM CST this afternoon
for ALZ051>060-261>266.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST early this morning for
ALZ265-266.

FL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM CST this afternoon
for FLZ201>206.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST early this morning for
FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening
for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.

GM...Gale Warning until noon CST today for GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from noon today to noon CST Monday for
GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ633>636.

Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$
#1260531 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:06 AM 22.Feb.2026)
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1152 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1150 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

- High winds and low relative humidity will create dangerous
burning conditions on Sunday.

- Strong winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft
from tonight into Monday night. Gale conditions are possible
late tonight into Sunday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Well above normal temps continue today ahead of an approaching
strong cold front that will bring much colder temps to the area
through Tuesday. A couple of strong storms remain possible this
afternoon due to the instability available ahead of the front with
temps in the low 80s and dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s. However,
weak forcing across the area will keep the threat marginal. A
isolated strong wind gust and/or small hail cannot be completely
ruled out. Much colder temps return in the wake of the front
tonight. Highs tomorrow will only be in the low to mid 50s inland
to upper 50s along the coast. A gusty northwest wind will make it
feel even colder. Highs on Monday will be in the mid and upper 40s
inland to low 50s along the coast. Lows tonight will be in the
upper 30s and low 40s. Most areas will see a freeze Sunday night
with lows in the upper 20s inland to low/mid 30s along the coast.
Monday night looks to be the coldest night with lows in the
low/mid 20s inland to near 30 along the coast.

Highs quickly warm back into the low 70s on Wednesday ahead of
another approaching cold front. This front will bring rain chances
back into the area on Thursday as it moves across the area.

A high risk of rip currents continues through Sunday morning. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through Sunday evening, along with
breezy northwesterly winds around 20 knots with frequent gusts to
around 30 knots. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

A light to moderate onshore flow will continue today ahead of a
strong cold front. This strong cold front moves through the area
tonight, with a strong offshore flow developing in the wake of the
front. Frequent gusts to gale force are expected late tonight
through Sunday night. Offshore flow diminishes late Monday night
into Tuesday morning. /13

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1240 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

A Red Flag Warning has been issued for southeast Mississippi on
Sunday due to the combination of strong winds and low humidity
levels. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 42 58 32 53 / 60 0 0 0
Pensacola 46 57 35 51 / 70 0 0 0
Destin 47 58 34 51 / 70 0 0 0
Evergreen 41 55 28 48 / 70 0 0 0
Waynesboro 38 54 29 49 / 20 0 0 0
Camden 38 51 28 45 / 40 0 0 0
Crestview 43 58 28 51 / 80 0 0 0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 5 PM CST Sunday for ALZ051>060-
261>266.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST Sunday for ALZ265-266.

FL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 5 PM CST Sunday for FLZ201>206.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CST Sunday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 6 PM CST Sunday for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.

GM...Gale Warning until noon CST Sunday for GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from noon Sunday to noon CST Monday for
GMZ630>632-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ633>636.

Gale Warning until noon CST Monday for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$