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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2007 News Talkbacks

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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3502
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Caribbean-Recon for Sunday [Re: cieldumort]
      #79260 - Sat Oct 27 2007 12:12 PM

Based on the flight times below. It would appear that the Hurricane Hunters are probably on their way to St Croix, or will be shortly.

(edit: At least one plane was in St Croix yesterday afternoon. So they were waiting on CARCAH's decision to fly tomorrow~danielw)

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, National Hurricane Center, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT SAT 27 OCTOBER 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-155

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS

1. SUSPECT AREA - CARIBBEAN
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 28/1800Z (center fix at 2 PM EDT)
B. AFXXX 01KKA INVEST
C. 28/1530Z (Sched. takeoff at 1130AM EDT)
D. 16.0N 74.5W
E. SFC TO 10,000 FT FROM 1730Z TO 2200Z

FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71
A. 29/0600Z
B. AFXXX 02KKA CYCLONE
C. 29/0300Z
D. 16.1N 76.0W
E. SFC TO 10,000FT FROM 0500Z TO 0900Z

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 12 HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
WARRANTS.

Edited by danielw (Sat Oct 27 2007 12:25 PM)


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craigm
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 302
Loc: Palm City, Florida 27.17N 80.27W
Re: Caribbean-Recon for Sunday [Re: danielw]
      #79261 - Sat Oct 27 2007 08:50 PM

Wow. Where is everyone? Got TD 16 transitioning on the navy site. I haven't checked in for a while, really thought the season was done. It looks like those warm SST's have one last gasp.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?ACTIVES=07-ATL-16L.NONAME,

SFWMD now has it as TD-16 expect NHC to issue at 11:00
http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_16.gif

--------------------
Why I'm here:
Frances,Jeanne,Wilma,worked on Andrew damage

Edited by craigm (Sat Oct 27 2007 10:13 PM)


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Doombot!
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 138
Loc: Lakeland, Fl.
Re: Caribbean-Recon for Sunday [Re: craigm]
      #79264 - Sun Oct 28 2007 12:36 AM

I was thinking the same thing. I was expecting several pages of posts already, but no one seems to be paying attention.

FWIW I'm a little concered with the lack of predicablity for this storm, but it seems like it will turn, just a matter of how soon and how strong.

D!


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