Liz L.
Unregistered
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The weather man here at Local 6 and channel 9 all concur that were suppposed to be hit with with Jeanne on Wednesday. great what a nice birthday present for me. So all i say if we are to get it bring it on and get it over with.
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mom2als
Registered User
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Posts: 7
Loc: Kissimmee, Fl
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Augustadawg,
Just thought I'd let you know that right now Disney is in great shape crowd wise. I'd say barring a visit from Jeanne, its a perfect time to come before the crowds start getting up the nerve to come back down. My mom works there and guests tell her its pretty empty! And to be honest, thats it the one place I'd feel safe in this area during a storm.
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tpratch
Moderator
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Posts: 339
Loc: Maryland
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Quote:
The weather man here at Local 6 and channel 9 all concur that were suppposed to be hit with with Jeanne on Wednesday. great what a nice birthday present for me. So all i say if we are to get it bring it on and get it over with.
Hurricane made landfall on September 3rd...
The 3rd was my younger sister's birthday - her middle name is .
Thankfully, none of my relatives have a middle name of "Jeanne" 
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Jeanne has finally removed her bad self from Hispaniola.
Let the fun begin 
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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MO Stormspotter
Unregistered
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So the eye is that puff of clouds just north of the haiti border right?
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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Steve, you might be right although I think 24 hours might be a little to fast to reach hurricane status, but you never know about intensity.. she's already looking a little better from the past hour of loops... I can see convection starting to fire off on the se side from the 16:45 sat pix, right now looking like she might survive after all... but needs to stay away from cuba... and I think she will, looks to be going wnw ..
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DMFischer
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 70
Loc: Palm Bay
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 Wellll ummmmm shucks....let me go back to my corner and hush
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Survived: Mitch '98-Charley's crossing'04-Frances '04-Jeanne'04 Survived near fatal fear from Floyd's threat.
Nearly grew gills with Fay'08
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StormHound
Weather Guru
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Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Quote:
Augustadawg,
Just thought I'd let you know that right now Disney is in great shape crowd wise. I'd say barring a visit from Jeanne, its a perfect time to come before the crowds start getting up the nerve to come back down. My mom works there and guests tell her its pretty empty! And to be honest, thats it the one place I'd feel safe in this area during a storm.
You got that right. The Disney infrastructure is amazing. Many Central Floridians *evacuated* to Disney during . We figure that if the entire SouthEast lost power, Disney would still be humming along.
They do have one resort closed due to /Frances damage, but it seems to be more cosmetic. They were the first ones to open their park after , though it was a lousy day. This is slow season so a good time to visit.
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Storm Hound
Computer Geek
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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>>> So the eye is that puff of clouds just north of the haiti border right?
More like an LLC at this point, but watch her start to spin up if she can stay over that warm water...
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Rasvar
Weather Master
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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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I just have to wonder what kind of support there is left at the mid and upper levels. Could be the classic case from a few years back where the LLC leaves and spins out and everything else is left behind.
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Jim
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Rasvar you'd expect that to happen every now and then during a NORMAL hurricane season, and that may well happen here, the LLC races off and leaves all the convection and the system just dies out, but the way things are going this year, all bets are off... it looks like to me its already trying to build up that convection... lets watch and see.....
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AdmittedHacker
Unregistered
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LI Phil... you're right. The ghost of the eye emerges on the NW side. Quick, let's hit it with Dynagel while it's still being reborn... <sigh>
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Brad
Unregistered
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if that LLC survives, looks to be about .5 to .8 degrees south of projected path at that point, at least according to the plot of it....will be interesting to see if it can get its act together.... I really doubted it a couple of hours ago, but the LLC does look fairly well formed, and I think the upper air environment is supposed to remain favorable for another day or 2, particular if it stays south, right?
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Brad
Unregistered
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Actually, it looks to be a full degree south of the projected path--although that's often not too significant, with this storm it could be.
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Bloodstar
Moderator
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Posts: 462
Loc: Tucson, AZ
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Ok, someone tell me there's vitually no way that the LLC could race ahead, gather convection and continue to rock... and at the same time have the Midlevel center drill down (since it's stationary) and form *another* LLC.
That really would be pretty damn unlikely... right?
Then again, with a year like this, why not have something really odd happen....
Mark
(Falcons, Still 1 - 0)
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Brad
Unregistered
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unlikely--but if the LLC gets enough distance and the environment remains favorable where the MLC was, of course it's possible. But with the MLC probably over Hispaniola, it'd be tough...it would have to move off, or re-form with convection off the coast.
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Brad
Unregistered
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HIGHLY unlikely would be more accurate
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LI Phil
User
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Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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Karl had formed an eye earlier, now appears to have closed up, but he's developing nicely. All I can say is this one better damn spin the fishes!
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2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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AdmittedHacker
Unregistered
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So what do our resident experts think...? Do you or do you not think Jeanne will reform and continue on... (this is the part that where you get to use all your training!).
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Rasvar
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
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Well, with my poor spanish, it appears they are keeping Jeanne at 65 MPH 19.5N 71.2 W Motion WNW? at 8 990mb.
Especially odd since the 16A in spanish on the 's site is essentially no change from the 11. Still says 16A though and 2:00PM.
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Jim
Edited by Rasvar (Fri Sep 17 2004 06:02 PM)
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