Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Quote:
she's looking strong today.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb...28.79 inches.
Repeating the 11 am AST position...31.8 N... 56.7 W. Movement
toward...north near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...100 mph.
Minimum central pressure... 975 mb.
Maria can become a 200 mph superhurricane for all I care, as long as it stays out to sea.
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Quote:
so far they are set to investigate tomorrow at 1800z
Where is the invest set to investigate? looking at the sat images it may be over land at 1800z tomorrow!
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (BAHAMAS)
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT
A. 06/1800Z A. 07/0600Z
B. NOAA2 01HHA INVEST B. NOAA3 02HHA CYCLONE
C. 06/1630Z C. 07/0430Z
D. 26.0N 79.5W D. 26.2N 80.0W
E. 06/1730Z TO 06/2200Z E. 07/0530Z TO 07/1000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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from what i can discern, it is moving or slightly moving sw right now, but expected to slow even more and move either wnw or more nw for 1-2 days
we will see what says i guess
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY JUST
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA AND OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS
MORNING...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THIS AREA DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR . A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW..IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS IN THE
BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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Without a doubt something is forming in the area between Freeport and Nassau in the Bahamas. The winds at Freeport are NE at 17 and at Nassau they are WSW at 9. This indicates the closed circulation between these 2 places. Both places have identical pressure at 29.92". I have had over 2 and a half inches of on and off rain for the past day and a half from this system off shore. It has also been totally overcast for the past 2 days, unusual in Florida. Believe it or not my high temperature yesterday was only 79 degrees from all the rain and overcast skies.
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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weatherwatcher2
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 97
Loc: Parrish florida
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Why isnt the saying much about this? They must not be overly concerned?
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Quote:
from what i can discern, it is moving or slightly moving sw right now, but expected to slow even more and move either wnw or more nw for 1-2 days
we will see what says i guess
That's what I am seeing on the visible satellite... it's definately not what we want to see though. It's hard to even think about what could happen if this thing becomes Nate and crosses into the Gulf.
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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Jekyhe904
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 22
Loc: Jacksonville, Florida
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I used to come to these boards for fun but now I come with a dreaded feeling of 'whats next'. How can we take another storm? Meanwhile, on the local news, they say cheerfully, winds are picking up and rain is coming down. I hope this dont go into the Gulf but it looks to me like It very well may. 
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h2ocean
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 91
Loc: South Merritt Island, FL
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There is certainly a circulation...check out this zoomed visible image...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get...;type=Animation
And you can see it on Miami's radar...
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kamx.shtml
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Merritt Island, FL Home Weather Station
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
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They have said conditions would be more favorable tomorrow for intensification. They are watching it. So am I. Thanks for the link and discussion here on it.
Very overcast all day... eerie and gray and worried this will develop and people won't pay much attention til it is too late.
Maybe more so because today is anniversary of Labor Day Storm.. as it is Labor Day and it does make you remember..
Thanks. See it spinning. Will see what it does tomorrow.
Also watching low wave in far atlantic
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http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 331
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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Well it sure looks like we have something going on down there thats for sure. Had some nice showers come in off the ocean from the north east this morning. I don`t know for sure, but I think I`m seeing a little movement west north west in the last hour or so. Really not sure. Looks like we may be in for some rain or maybe more????? Gonna have to keep an eye on this baby, thats for sure........Weatherchef........... web page
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Ryan
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 281
Loc: Long Island, NY / Stuart, FL
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go chock it out that would be a horrible storm, it goes right over southeastern LA, after crossing florida
thanks for all the birthday condolencesss
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2006 Atlantic Season Summary:
Bad, But Not AS Bad.
Life's a Storm, Watch Your Back
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CocoCrk
Registered User
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Posts: 6
Loc: Coconut Creek, FL
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Obviously there is a lot of divergence in the models right now without an established center, but in the absence of any forecasts from the , the HPC is going with the and solutions (some of the better models this year) which take the low into the upper Gulf Region by day 5. Not a pretty picture if it pans out...
You can check it out at this link... http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9lh.gif
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Quote:
go chock it out that would be a horrible storm, it goes right over southeastern LA, after crossing florida
thanks for all the birthday condolencesss
It would be a horrible storm no matter where it goes. Everyone's concentration is on New Orleans right now, and if a major hurricane struck - anywhere - I don't know if there are sufficient resources now to help anyone who would need help afterwards. Granted, it certainly looks like the probable soon-to-be-TD15 will not be near the intensity of when it crosses the peninsula - if that's where it heads. One can only hope that the water is really icy in the Gulf now.
I really wonder why the is waiting until tomorrow to send a recon into this system - it looks as if it could even be classified as a depression now, albeit a disorganized one.
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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hurricane expert
Really Not an Expert
Reged:
Posts: 105
Loc: florida
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In Grand Bahama there is heavy rain and windy conditions right know. The wind are from the NE at 22 MPH maybe there is something forming out there.
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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
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The last 5 observations from Freeport have all had sustained winds of 21-27 mph from the NE or ENE. However, the pressure has remained steady at 29.91"/29.92".
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Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.
Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Quote:
The last 5 observations from Freeport have all had sustained winds of 21-27 mph from the NE or ENE. However, the pressure has remained steady at 29.91"/29.92".
TD 15 is forming... if the will ever notice is.
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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Steve H1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
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Cloud tops are warming again over the Bahamas, but structurally this area seems to be getting organized. We'll see. I was more impressed with it earlier, but now it just a weak low. Should pulse up again later today, and then we might have a depression. We'll see. 92L still kis a concern IMO, but days away from land. I believe there is still potential for development as it moves into the Caribbean. Other than Hurricane Maria, kind of quiet today. That could change quickly though, and I'm watching the Bahamas. Cheers!!
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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93L is now noname 15 per navy
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Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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