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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 60 (Maria) Florida - Any: 70 (Irma) Major: 70 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2007 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands
      #77242 - Mon Aug 20 2007 01:01 AM

The northern apex of a tropical wave well north northeast of the Windward Islands near 23N 59W at 20/03Z has maintained increasing convection for the past 24 hours and has the potential for slow development over the next couple of days. The wave is moving to the west at about 15 knots - something else to keep an eye on.
ED


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Freezey
Unregistered




Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #77255 - Mon Aug 20 2007 07:10 AM

Hmm i have been watching this aswell,i noiced it yesterday evening. it looks better this morning as i see cloud of thunderstorms trying to wrap around a center.this one worries me becuase its right beside florida

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weathernet
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere 80.30N 50.63E
Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #77256 - Mon Aug 20 2007 07:40 AM

Ed,

Interesting how at these higher latitiudes, any current formation would still appear to dictate a westward general motion. Whether or not this wave is able to further develop ( especially as CMC continues to indicate a Florida Hurricane landfall in several days ), this predominant motion may not bode well for the Greater Antilles or the SE U.S. if this "set up" remains in place for a good portion of the remaining season.

Andy


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madmumbler
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 324
Loc: SWFL 26.89N 82.29W
Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #77257 - Mon Aug 20 2007 07:40 AM

How soon do you think before we have an invest? What conditions will cause the NHC to declare it an invest?

EDIT: Nevermind -- since I posted this the NRL has posted an invest. Oh boy.

--------------------
Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.

Edited by madmumbler (Mon Aug 20 2007 08:49 AM)


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twizted sizter
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 184
Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands [Re: madmumbler]
      #77266 - Mon Aug 20 2007 08:55 AM

Doesn't surprise me. You could tell last night it was looking favorable & this mornings TWO mentions possible continued favorablity as well.
CMC loves it..GFS closes off a low but that's about it for now with the GFS...will change I'm sure. Too much late night Dean tracking but I believe last nights Euro developed 92L as well. GFDL showed a hint of something in last nights run as well but I haven't looked this morning to see if it still does.
Persistent convection & the placement of the high seem favorable for development & track over Fl it seems.
SFWMD has the 1st plots available on the main page as well.


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flanewscameraman
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 32
Loc: Palm Beach County, FLA
Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands [Re: twizted sizter]
      #77270 - Mon Aug 20 2007 09:22 AM

When it rains it pours.no pun intended, this will be an interesting one to watch for today and the days to come..it seems to be trying to pull itself together....we shall see

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - NNE of the Windward Islands [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #77280 - Mon Aug 20 2007 11:01 AM

Invest 92L continues to show developing organization. A weak circulation (perhaps transitory) was noted near 22.5N 56W at 20/13Z moving to the west northwest at about 15 knots. Some residual upper wind shear ahead of the system is expected to relax so I don't see anything that would prevent additional development of this system in the near term. Recommend that folks in the Southeast - especially Florida and Georgia - keep a close eye on this potentially troublesome system. System is currently about 2250 miles east southeast of Melbourne.
ED


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