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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL
Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman
      Sat Sep 11 2004 11:01 PM

Hurricane Ivan remains a strong Category 5 hurricane, actually the 6th strongest ever seen in the Atlantic, with a pressure at 910mb. And it still has potential to strengthen even more. The strongest recorded was Hurricane Gilbert in 1988, with a pressure of 888 mb.



The future track continues to slide west, the Panhandle being the highest probabiility. But I've noticed that the models have still been too far right ever since Ivan was a depression. This trend has been interesting. Note, that a US landfall would't be until tuesday or wednesday night and the track could still change.

Until Ivan starts making a definitive move, the confidence in any of this is low. Hurricane Mitch is a good example of why.



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Event RelatedLinks
Stormcarib Reports from the Cayman Islands
Cuban Radar Images
Stormcarib personal reports from Jamaica
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Nice color satellite image
Animated Color Ivan Satellite (With NHC Track Overlay)
(Animated Version)
High Speed Satellite Loops (Click floater)
Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Tampa. Miami, Key West, Tallahassee.
Melbourne
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
Key West (Florida Keys)Long Range Radar Loop

General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps

Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovirr
Other Recon Info

Disaster Relief Information

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 11 2004 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman Mooshie-SC   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:27 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman ShanaTX   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:30 AM
. * * Re:Poor initialization javlin   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:41 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman Mooshie-SC   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:41 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:39 AM
. * * Newest advisory out ShanaTX   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:05 AM
. * * New recon fix Clark   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:10 AM
. * * Re: New recon fix Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:21 AM
. * * Re: New recon fix mikeG   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:23 AM
. * * Re: New recon fix Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: New recon fix ShanaTX   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:13 AM
. * * Re: New recon fix danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:27 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman Lisa NC   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman DroopGB31   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:17 PM
. * * Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... Terra   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... Terra   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... recmod   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:42 PM
. * * HEY JASON!!!!!!!!!! FlaRebel   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Recon MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Recon tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Recon HCW   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Recon tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:04 AM
. * * Re: Recon BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Recon LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:15 AM
. * * current strength? rule   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:06 AM
. * * New Recon Decoder Version Londovir   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:21 AM
. * * Re: New Recon Decoder Version Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:42 AM
. * * Re: New Recon Decoder Version Londovir   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:06 AM
. * * Re: New Recon Decoder Version Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:20 AM
. * * All Clear? Tim in NO   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:28 AM
. * * Re: All Clear? Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:34 AM
. * * NW Jog Tim in NO   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:39 AM
. * * Re: NW Jog Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:53 AM
. * * Re: New Recon Decoder Version danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
. * * Re: New Recon Decoder Version MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Re: Recon BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
. * * Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours HCW   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:14 AM
. * * Re: Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Canadian.... western outlier... LA/MS line in 96 hours Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Recon MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Recon Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:55 PM
. * * Re: New models danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:58 PM
. * * Re: New models KJJBCr   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
. * * Re: New models kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:59 PM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Re: New models Rasvar   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:36 AM
. * * Re: New models Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:00 AM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:07 AM
. * * Re: New models meto   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:15 AM
. * * Re: New models MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
. * * Re: New models Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:23 AM
. * * Re: New models meto   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:38 AM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:42 AM
. * * Re: New models Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:54 AM
. * * Re: New models Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:10 AM
. * * Re: New models javlin   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:29 AM
. * * Re: New models danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:37 AM
. * * Re: New models javlin   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:43 AM
. * * Re: New models danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:12 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! john03   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:10 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! mikeG   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:11 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:40 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 03:41 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 06:23 AM
. * * Last two hours=mostly WEST Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 07:50 AM
. * * Westward Ho! JackF   Sun Sep 12 2004 07:40 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! caneman   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:04 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! Terra   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:47 AM
. * * Break in ridge to north? Ormond Suzie   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:20 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! SAM33   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Fred08   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Shear! tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Shear! MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Shear! GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Shear! tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Shear! tenavilla   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:58 AM
. * * Re: Shear! MrSpock   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Jeffmidtown   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:14 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Kal   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:21 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Orlando   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Rabbit   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Shear! teal61   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Shear! BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Fred08   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:16 AM
. * * EYE vis. MikeG   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:29 AM
. * * Re: EYE vis. GuppieGrouper   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:47 AM
. * * Re: EYE vis. KC   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:51 AM
. * * Re: EYE vis. spook   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Jeffmidtown   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Shear! nick8   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:33 AM
. * * Re: Shear! rd522525   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:46 AM
. * * Re: Shear! mud1967   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:09 AM
. * * New Orleans NWS SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:13 AM
. * * Re: New Orleans NWS willy   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 PM
. * * Westward trend continues Wxwatcher2   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:05 AM
. * * Models and Troughs SoonerShawn   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Models and Troughs rd522525   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Models and Troughs Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 10:05 AM
. * * Re: Shear! Keith234   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Shear! BillD   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:45 AM
. * * Re: Shear! CentralFlorida   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:18 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! jlauderdal   Sun Sep 12 2004 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Westward Ho! robynsmom   Sun Sep 12 2004 09:16 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! James88   Sun Sep 12 2004 04:33 AM
. * * Re: CHECK SATS! Domino   Sun Sep 12 2004 04:57 AM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:07 AM
. * * Re: New models MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:04 AM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: New models BabyCat   Sun Sep 12 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: New models scottsvb1   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:41 AM
. * * Re: New models scottsvb1   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:25 AM
. * * Sat Loops Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:30 AM
. * * Re: New models Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:29 AM
. * * Re: New models OZ IN FL   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:22 AM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:18 AM
. * * Re: New models scottsvb1   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:19 AM
. * * Re: New models Colleen A.   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:26 AM
. * * Re: New models scottsvb1   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:29 AM
. * * Re: New models scottsvb1   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:30 AM
. * * Re: New models MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Tampa Area kempshark   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Tampa Area Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:55 AM
. * * recon BabyCat   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:58 AM
. * * Re: recon danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:03 AM
. * * Re: New models scottsvb1   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: New models Tazmanian93   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:40 AM
. * * WOBBLE! SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:46 PM
. * * Re: WOBBLE! Frank P   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:57 PM
. * * Re: WOBBLE! LI Phil   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:01 AM
. * * Boat on a bay.... Frank P   Sun Sep 12 2004 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:45 PM
. * * Re: Hitting West Cuba.... or not.... Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:52 PM
. * * Excellent post .. very honest well written words LoisCane   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman DroopGB31   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman sullynole   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman Jeffmidtown   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:33 PM
. * * Forecasts and models BeachBum   Sun Sep 12 2004 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman DroopGB31   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan Approaches Grand Cayman 52255225   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:16 PM
. * * Whew... rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 11:24 PM

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