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Hurricanes Chris, Beryl and More

Posted: 02:52 PM 10 July 2018 | 2 Comments | Add Comment | Newest: 01:33 PM 13-Jul EDT



An active month of July continues, with recon now finding Chris a hurricane. Fortunately, nearly all reliable guidance takes Hurricane Chris north-northeast to northeast away from the U.S., but the cyclone could continue to produce some serious rip current risks along the eastern seaboard.

Another Low to the northeast of Chris is weak, and significant development is not expected, although it could have some influence on the path Chris takes.

Southeast of Chris, the low pressure remains of former Hurricane Beryl continue struggling, but a new mid-level center may be trying to form along the northern portion of this trough. Interests in the region should continue to monitor this disturbance closely, and stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center for updates. NHC odds of 20% within 48 hours/50% within 5 days, and these odds could be going up.

Finally, way, way, way out in the Tropical Atlantic, an active portion of the ITCZ is worth keeping an eye on, as despite Sea Surface Temps running well below average in the Tropical Atlantic so far this seasaon, African Easterly Waves have been busier and friskier than usual.

For Chris model talk and more check out the Hurricane Chris Lounge

For more Beryl model talk, go beyond the cone with us in the Beryl Lounge.


Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Charleston, SC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Wilmington, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Morehead City, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Norfolk/Wakefield, VA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Area Forecast Discussions: Charleston, SC - Wilmington, NC - Morehead City, NC - Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads, VA

Canadian Hurricane Centre

Beryl Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Beryl - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Beryl


stormplotthumb_2.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float2latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Beryl (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Beryl (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Beryl

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Beryl
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Beryl -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Chris Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Chris - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Chris


stormplotthumb_3.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float3latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Chris (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Chris (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Chris

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Chris
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Chris -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Eastern NC/OBX/Hampton Roads Media:

Star News Online (Wilmington)

Outer Banks Sentinel

Hampton Roads Pilot

WWAY TV 3 Wilmington, NC (ABC)

WECT TV 6 Wilmington, NC (NBC)

Fox Wilmington (FOX)

WILM TV 10 Wilmington, NC (CBS)

WITN 7 - Eastern North Carolina TV (NBC)

WCTI 12 - Eastern North Carolina (ABC)

WNCT TV 9 - Eastern North Carolina (CBS)

Wavy 10 (NBC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA TV

WTKR 3 (CBS) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA

WVEC 13 (ABC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA

Facebook Update Posted
01:52 am 16-Jul-2018 EDT

The Atlantic is mostly quiet now.

Facebook Update Posted
10:36 pm 15-Jul-2018 EDT

Storm Downgraded:Subtropical Storm #BERYL toPost-Tropical BERYL 38.6N 62.4W Wind 35MPH Moving ENE at 13 MPH https://t.co/wqblQsuI5k

Facebook Update Posted
02:44 pm 14-Jul-2018 EDT

NHC is issuing advisories on recently re-developed #Beryl Elsewhere, the Atlantic is mostly quiet now.

Facebook Update Posted
12:50 pm 14-Jul-2018 EDT

Storm Upgraded:Remnants Of #BERYL toSubtropical Storm #BERYL 36.4N 65.7W Wind 40MPH Moving NE at 12 MPH https://t.co/wqblQsuI5k

Facebook Update Posted
07:59 am 14-Jul-2018 EDT

#Beryl remnants more organized now with 50/50 odds new advisories get issued this weekend. May brush eastern Canada

Facebook Update Posted
11:52 am 13-Jul-2018 EDT

#Beryl remnants down to 20% redevelopment odds. Hot, dry and dusty air overtaking much of the Atlantic now.

Hurricane History
Pete Creedon (4 replies)
Christmas hurricane of 1994
2017 Forecast Lounge
cieldumort (6 replies)
HUR Lee Lounge
MikeC (4 replies)
Beryl Lounge
cieldumort (3 replies)
Chris Lounge
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