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weathernet
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Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC?
      Sun Jun 24 2012 07:54 AM Attachment (196 downloads)

As of this posting, it still remains unsure exactly where T.S. Debby will track. However, given the persistant relocation of this very tilted and sheared storm and coupled with latest 0Z model guidance shift, it does appear that there is greater likelyhood of a N.Central Florida landfall.

Once initialized as a storm today, one may note a nearly immediate westward forecasted motion with the "cone of error" at 5 days expanding to cover the W. Coastline of Louisiana and all Coastal Texas. To my recollection, this may mark the first time that I can remember that NHC may miss all "cone forecast points. An illustration "link" of original track forecast may be clicked on above this post.

Though when initially pondered as a big league "swing and a miss", perhaps the more salient point here is that what makes this missed forecast stand out so much may very well be the level of increasing accuracy that NHC has exhibited over recent years and how we have all come to expect that. So if that be the case, they deserve a mulligan. (Heck, when I'm out playing golf i'm usually needing more than one!)

Edited by weathernet (Sun Jun 24 2012 07:57 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? weathernet Sun Jun 24 2012 07:54 AM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? kromdog   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? doug   Sun Jun 24 2012 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? kromdog   Sun Jun 24 2012 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? Littlebit   Sun Jun 24 2012 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:05 PM
. * * Debby Vortex danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? Joeyfl   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:37 AM

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