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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
9.3N 43.6W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
W at 18 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Tropical Storm Erin Lounge
      Tue Aug 13 2013 03:52 PM



A tropical wave associated with an elongated area of low pressure that has just exited the western tip of Africa and entered the extreme eastern Atlantic is now being tracked as Invest 93L.

Invest 93L is expected to treck generally west-northwest. Dry and dusty air has largely exited this region, and a few models suggest gradual development is very possible.

This is where to put our mid to long range thoughts on 93L's potential for further development, intensity, and forecast track. Longer range model output discussions are also appropriate here.


(Edited to reflect upgrade to named storm)


Edited by cieldumort (Thu Aug 15 2013 09:14 AM)

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